Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 24.985680 28.894576 33.142336 38.091848 43.690834 49.818094 57.020911
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.787303 23.001756 29.235604 37.192264 47.028127 58.735049 73.665316
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.879543 19.624493 27.029954 37.173258 50.586539 67.583294 90.595051
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.377777 17.350383 25.551167 37.457741 54.089587 76.249580 107.705019
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.857269 14.501946 22.722300 35.314217 53.800231 79.564426 117.703242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.796839 13.558201 22.373806 36.491915 58.082163 89.293187 137.082538
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.106078 13.046701 22.548003 38.376195 63.464506 100.904281 159.927709
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.986329 11.631531 21.083913 37.480541 64.433592 105.966448 173.382588
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.924329 10.128255 19.249218 35.715458 63.764321 108.351098 182.789453
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.681443 10.067590 19.849689 38.061948 69.942184 121.831258 210.321702
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.617193 10.330821 21.039106 41.522236 78.240112 139.240448 245.194714
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.184613 9.794895 20.690314 42.174470 81.722537 148.936738 268.074624
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.623363 8.939527 19.698466 41.668066 83.353775 156.053438 287.895933
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.063586 7.993297 18.413781 40.484333 83.698723 161.095535 304.784872
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.690893 7.395808 17.748676 40.421912 86.101789 169.900841 328.782578
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.399565 6.932460 17.295624 40.719989 89.193519 180.128575 355.936407
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.960937 6.010597 15.695257 38.408435 86.890678 180.214101 364.716210
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.819871 5.832406 15.756680 39.677313 91.916500 194.385184 400.293381
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.736726 5.795717 16.144378 41.707254 98.681200 212.322364 443.992481
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.498628 5.269528 15.265782 40.742419 99.008249 217.703424 464.091203
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.249619 4.651129 14.055663 38.840481 97.101091 218.462502 475.225565
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.225372 4.724975 14.655304 41.368742 105.222160 240.046093 528.592445
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.247535 4.953713 15.698377 45.094842 116.331273 268.415783 596.967703